Read a published growth forecast without extending it
Lesson 1 of 6 · Pick the market like a fund
1 · Learn the move · Verified-data override
A regional growth forecast is the first document a build-to-hold developer reaches for and the easiest one to abuse. It gives county-wide population and jobs at a base year and two or three horizon years, and the model will happily do everything the forecast does not: run the line out to a year it never printed, hand the county's growth to your corridor, turn new residents into square feet of demand, and call the result a fact. Each move feels like analysis. Each one is a number with no document behind it. The override is simple and has to be stated out loud: the forecast you pasted is the only growth figure that exists for this task, whatever the model believes about the region. It quotes the forecast's own figures with their table, shows any percentage change as arithmetic you can check, and stops at the geography and the years the forecast covers.
The forecast below is the only source of growth figures for this task. Ignore anything you believe about this region. Quote each figure with its table and page. Show any percent change as arithmetic tagged [verify]. Do not project past the last year printed, do not allocate county figures to any smaller area, and do not convert people or jobs into building demand. What the forecast does not cover reads [NEEDS: ...]. [forecast excerpt]
2 · Your turn. You write the prompt
Your firm is weighing a 28-acre site near the Route 9 interchange at Pennick, in Oxlade County, for a flex industrial and service-retail program you would build and hold. You pasted the Oxlade-Varrow Regional Council's published forecast: county population 184,000 (2025 base), 207,500 (2035), 226,000 (2045); county employment 91,200 (2025), 101,800 (2035), 109,400 (2045) [Table 3, p. 14]. The forecast has no figures below the county and nothing past 2045. Your partner's note asks 'what does this mean for the interchange through 2050?' Write the prompt that reads the forecast and refuses to extend it.
Write the prompt for this scenario as given, or swap in a real one from your own work. The score works the same either way.
Remember: the AI sees only your prompt, not this page. If the situation isn't in your prompt, it doesn't exist.
Optional. These shape the output when you run your prompt below, not your score.