Percent-of-market offers and where they break
Lesson 3 of 6 · Price it without inventing a number
1 · Learn the move · Recipe pattern
Plenty of land buyers offer a set percentage of what they believe a tract would resell for. The formula is not the problem. The inputs are. The resale figure is often a hunch, the percentage was picked in a different county on bigger tracts, and on a small lot the fixed costs of back taxes, closing and recording can eat most of the margin the percentage assumed. A recipe prompt makes each step visible: your resale figure and the sales behind it, your percentage stated by you, each cost from a document, the arithmetic shown, and then a pass that names where the recipe breaks on this tract. The model multiplies and subtracts. It never supplies the resale figure, the percentage or a cost, and when a step has no input the recipe stops there instead of improvising around it.
Run my offer recipe step by step using only my inputs: my resale figure and the sales behind it, my percentage, and the costs in the documents below. Show every calculation. At any step with a missing input, stop and write [NEEDS: ...]. Then list the conditions under which this recipe produces a bad offer on this particular tract.
2 · Your turn. You write the prompt
Offering the same percentage on everything has worked on 20-acre tracts. Now you have a 1.2-acre lot in Corran County with two years of back taxes on it, and the same formula gives an offer that looks fine on paper. Write the prompt that runs your formula in the open and tells you where it stops working.
Write the prompt for this scenario as given, or swap in a real one from your own work. The score works the same either way.
Remember: the AI sees only your prompt, not this page. If the situation isn't in your prompt, it doesn't exist.
Optional. These shape the output when you run your prompt below, not your score.